Colombian Labyrinth The Synergy of Drugs and Insugency and Its Implications for Regional Stability

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Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2001-07-13
Publisher(s): RAND Corporation
List Price: $21.61

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Table of Contents

Preface iii
Figures
ix
Tables
xi
Summary xiii
Acknowledgments xxi
Acronyms xxiii
Map
Introduction: Sources of Instability
1(10)
Political Trends
2(2)
Economic Trends
4(2)
Social Trends
6(2)
Roadmap to the Report
8(3)
The Illegal Drug Trade
11(12)
Scope and Dimensions
11(3)
The Main Players
14(2)
Impact of Drug Trade on Colombia and the Region
16(2)
Impact of the Drug Trade on U.S. Interests
18(2)
The U.S. Response
20(3)
Origins and Development of the Guerrillas
23(16)
The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)
23(7)
The National Liberation Army (ELN)
30(1)
Other Guerrilla Groups
31(1)
Sources of Guerrilla Income: Links to the Drug Trade
32(1)
Other Sources of Guerrilla Income
33(2)
The Arms Pipeline
35(2)
Supporting Networks and Information-Age Warfare
37(2)
Guerrilla Strategy
39(14)
Grand Strategy
39(7)
Controlling the Grass Roots: The Local Dimension of Guerrilla Strategy
46(7)
The Illegal Self-Defense Groups: Cause or Symptom of the Disorder?
53(8)
Origins, Characteristics, and Organization
53(4)
Allegations of Collusion with the Colombian Military
57(1)
Links to the Drug Trade
58(1)
Political Actors or Criminals?
59(2)
Colombian Government Strategy
61(10)
Plan Colombia
61(3)
Counter-Narcotics Strategy
64(3)
Role of the United States
67(4)
The Peace Negotiations
71(8)
Prospects for a Peace Settlement
74(4)
Conclusions
78(1)
Colombian Futures
79(6)
Successful Peace Agreement
79(1)
Turning the Tide
80(1)
Stalemate
81(1)
The Peruvian Model
82(1)
Disintegration
82(1)
FARC Takeover or Power-Sharing
82(1)
Internationalization of the Conflict
83(1)
Probable Future Path
83(2)
A Wider Conflict?
85(8)
Panama
85(2)
Venezuela
87(1)
Ecuador
88(2)
Brazil
90(1)
Conclusions
91(2)
Implications for U.S. Interests
93(8)
Strategic-Level Considerations
93(2)
Operational-Level Implications
95(2)
Regional Cooperation
97(2)
Conclusions
99(2)
Appendix: The Colombian Armed Forces 101(6)
Bibliography 107

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